Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.014212 0.016492 0.019009 0.021989 0.025422 0.029251 0.033843
2026-01-25 0.010600 0.013492 0.016975 0.021470 0.027115 0.033961 0.042892
2026-02-01 0.008253 0.011380 0.015439 0.021080 0.028705 0.038639 0.052551
2026-02-08 0.006659 0.009852 0.014281 0.020848 0.030314 0.043435 0.062979
2026-02-15 0.005405 0.008519 0.013104 0.020306 0.031299 0.047401 0.072727
2026-02-22 0.004776 0.007968 0.012920 0.021112 0.034267 0.054496 0.087878
2026-03-01 0.004098 0.007204 0.012268 0.021053 0.035834 0.059603 0.100594
2026-03-08 0.003421 0.006321 0.011270 0.020246 0.036025 0.062480 0.110010
2026-03-15 0.002974 0.005754 0.010704 0.020062 0.037189 0.067027 0.122688
2026-03-22 0.002778 0.005606 0.010844 0.021125 0.040649 0.075869 0.143853
2026-03-29 0.002540 0.005337 0.010715 0.021660 0.043187 0.083334 0.163387
2026-04-05 0.002209 0.004831 0.010061 0.021088 0.043533 0.086770 0.175757
2026-04-12 0.001956 0.004451 0.009613 0.020885 0.044623 0.091840 0.192102
2026-04-19 0.001706 0.004036 0.009034 0.020330 0.044925 0.095406 0.205915
2026-04-26 0.001504 0.003695 0.008561 0.019930 0.045490 0.099552 0.221414
2026-05-03 0.001342 0.003419 0.008188 0.019694 0.046369 0.104437 0.239034
2026-05-10 0.001181 0.003120 0.007722 0.019174 0.046535 0.107795 0.253717
2026-05-17 0.001120 0.003058 0.007796 0.019932 0.049735 0.118201 0.285388
2026-05-24 0.001018 0.002872 0.007548 0.019873 0.050992 0.124345 0.307988
2026-05-31 0.000891 0.002601 0.007046 0.019110 0.050427 0.126186 0.320655
2026-06-07 0.000808 0.002435 0.006788 0.018935 0.051309 0.131562 0.342484
2026-06-14 0.000785 0.002434 0.006968 0.019940 0.055350 0.145100 0.386075
2026-06-21 0.000742 0.002370 0.006964 0.020446 0.058141 0.155829 0.423789